Cold front and possible cyclone will intensify rains from Friday to Sunday in the following states

MEXICO CITY (apro).- A possible tropical cyclone south of the coasts of Oaxaca and Chiapas will increase this weekend the potential for heavy to very heavy rains in Veracruz and Tabasco, with occasional intense rains in Oaxaca and Chiapas, highlighted the National Meteorological Service (SMN).

The approach of an unseasonable cold front will contribute to intensifying rainfall, predicted the National Water Commission (Conagua), which predicted that at least 13 entities could exceed 45 degrees in temperature.

During the night of Thursday and early Friday, a dry line will persist over the north and northeast of Mexico, it will interact with a low pressure channel extended over the northeast, east and center of the country, and combined with instability at high levels of the atmosphere, they will cause heavy occasional rains in areas of Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and Mexico City, showers in Chihuahua, Hidalgo and Morelos, and isolated rains in Sonora (north).

The approach of a cold front (out of season) to the northern border of the national territory will reinforce the rains in the mentioned region.

?? Stay informed this afternoon about conditions #Meteorological that will be present in #Mexico for the next few hours.

We invite you to consult our #VideoForecast evening Excellent afternoon and good return home! ?? pic.twitter.com/rRnuM3i6Pd

— CONAGUA Climate (@conagua_clima) May 17, 2024

Likewise, the subtropical jet stream will cause strong gusts of wind of up to 70 kilometers per hour with the probability of dust devils in Chihuahua, Durango and Zacatecas, as well as possible formation of whirlwinds or tornadoes in areas of Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas, in addition to Wind gusts of 40 to 60 km/h with probability of dust devils in states of the northwest, north and center of Mexico.

In turn, there will be a southerly wind with gusts of 60 to 70 km/h in Veracruz and Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec) and 40 to 60 km/h in Tamaulipas (coast), Chiapas and the Yucatan Peninsula.

On the other hand, another low pressure channel in the southeast of the country in combination with the entry of humidity from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, in addition to instability at high levels of the atmosphere, will cause heavy occasional rains in Oaxaca and Chiapas, showers in Guerrero and isolated rains in areas of Quintana Roo.

All the mentioned rains will be accompanied by electric shocks and possible hail, in addition, heavy rains could cause puddles and flooding in low areas. Also, gusts of wind could knock down trees or advertising signs.

Potential for cyclonic development

For Friday, a dry line will persist over the northeast of the country, it will interact with the frontal system (out of season), which will extend in the north and northeast of Mexico and with the subtropical jet stream, creating conditions for rain and showers in these regions, with occasional heavy rains and wind gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and the probability of whirlwinds in Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas.

For their part, low pressure channels, the first extended over the east, center and south of the country, and the second in the Mexican southeast, in interaction with instability at high levels of the atmosphere, will cause rains with intervals of showers in the regions. mentioned, with very strong occasional rains in Chiapas and strong occasional rains in Puebla, Tlaxcala, the State of Mexico and Oaxaca. All forecast rains could be accompanied by electric shocks and hail.

In turn, the entry of humidity generated by a low pressure area with the potential for cyclonic development south of Guerrero and an area of ​​instability with the probability of its cyclonic development in seven days, will reinforce the potential for rain in the southeast of the Republic. Mexican.

?? He #SMNmx keeps an area under surveillance #Low pressure southwest of the coast of #Warrior with potential for cyclonic development in 48 hours and 7 days. pic.twitter.com/uFF0Qiwntj
— CONAGUA Climate (@conagua_clima) May 17, 2024

In the Valley of Mexico, a temperate environment and skies with scattered cloudiness are forecast at dawn. In the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with the presence of mist, as well as a probability of rain and showers in Mexico City and showers with occasional heavy rains in the State of Mexico, which will be accompanied by electric shocks. and possible hail fall.

Wind of variable direction from 10 to 25 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h, mainly in stormy areas. The minimum temperature forecast for Mexico City is 15 to 17 °C and the maximum is 31 to 33 °C. For Toluca, the minimum temperature predicted is 9 to 11 °C and the maximum is 28 to 30 degrees, the SMN predicted.

72 to 96 hour forecast

It is forecast that starting Sunday an anticyclonic circulation at medium levels of the atmosphere will be positioned over the west of the country, keeping the atmosphere hot to very hot over the national territory, possibly exceeding 45 °C in Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Coahuila , Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.

On Saturday, the cold front will extend in the northeast of the Mexican Republic, causing showers and gusts of wind in the region. It is expected that during the early hours of Sunday the front will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico, ceasing to affect the country.

During Saturday and Sunday, a low pressure channel over the east of the Mexican territory, divergence in height and the entry of humidity from the Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico, will cause occasional heavy showers and rains in the central and eastern states of the country, which will be accompanied by electric shocks and hail, in addition, there will be strong gusts of wind.

Possible tropical cyclone to the south of the coasts of Oaxaca and Chiapas will increase the potential for rain from heavy to very heavy in Veracruz (south) and Tabasco, with intense occasional events in Oaxaca and Chiapas, highlighted the Conagua agency.

Rain forecast for Friday, May 17:

• Heavy rains with very strong spots (50 to 75 mm): Chiapas.
• Intervals of showers with heavy occasional rains (25 to 50 mm): Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and Oaxaca.
• Shower intervals (5 to 25 mm): San Luis Potosí, Veracruz, Hidalgo, Mexico City, Morelos and Guerrero.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Chihuahua, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Tabasco and Quintana Roo.

Heavy to very heavy rains will be accompanied by gusts of wind, electric shocks and possible hail; In addition, they could cause reduced visibility, landslides, flooding or flooding, as well as an increase in the levels of rivers and streams.

High temperatures could cause health problems.

Temperature forecast for Friday, May 17:

• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California, Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Coahuila, Morelos, Puebla (north and southwest) and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Durango, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato and State of Mexico (southwest).
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Tlaxcala and Mexico City.
• Minimum temperatures of -5 to 0 °C with frost: mountains of Chihuahua and Durango.
• Minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 °C: mountain ranges of Baja California, Sonora, Zacatecas and the State of Mexico.

Wind forecast for Friday, May 17:

• South component wind with gusts of 70 to 90 km/h: Veracruz (south) and Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec); with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and possible dust devils: Durango, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes and San Luis Potosí; with possible formation of whirlwinds: Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas.
• Wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h and possible dust devils: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Guerrero, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City and Morelos.

Saturday May 18:

• Very heavy rains with intense occasional events (75 to 150 mm): Chiapas.
• Heavy rains with very strong spots (50 to 75 mm): Oaxaca and Tabasco.
• Intervals of showers with heavy occasional rains (25 to 50 mm): Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Veracruz (south) and Campeche.
• Shower intervals (5 to 25 mm): San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Michoacán, Guerrero and Morelos.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Coahuila and Yucatán.
• Wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and waves of 1 to 3 meters high: coasts of Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• South component wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Veracruz (south), Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec), Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Campeche; with possible dust devils: Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí and Zacatecas.
• Wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h and possible dust devils: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, Durango, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and City of Mexico.
• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Michoacán, Guerrero, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Morelos, Puebla (north and southwest), Oaxaca, Chiapas and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato and the State of Mexico (southwest).
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Tlaxcala and Mexico City.
• Minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 °C during the early hours of Sunday: mountains of Chihuahua, Durango and the State of Mexico.

Sunday, May 19:

• Very heavy rains with intense occasional events (75 to 150 mm): Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• Heavy rains with very strong spots (50 to 75 mm): Veracruz (mountains and south) and Tabasco.
• Intervals of showers with occasional heavy rains (25 to 50 mm): Puebla and Campeche.
• Shower intervals (5 to 25 mm): Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos and Guerrero.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro, Guanajuato, Michoacán, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Wind with gusts of 50 to 60 km/h and waves of 1 to 3 meters high: coasts of Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• Wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h with possible dust devils: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas, Durango and Aguascalientes.
• Wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h: Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo and possible dust devils: Sonora, Tamaulipas, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and Mexico City.
• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Michoacán, Guerrero, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Morelos, Puebla (north and southwest) and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, State of Mexico (southwest), Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Tlaxcala and Mexico City.
• Minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 °C during the early hours of Monday: mountain ranges of Baja California, Chihuahua and Durango.