Electric shocks, hail, strong gusts of wind, whirlwinds and dust devils, as well as flooding and flooding, are expected.

MEXICO CITY (apro).- The National Meteorological Service (SMN) predicts everything from showers to heavy rains with electric shocks and probable hail in 16 entities for this Thursday, May 16.

One day after the start of the 2024 rainy and cyclone season, the National Water Commission (Conagua) predicts strong gusts of wind with the possibility of whirlwinds and tornadoes, as well as high temperatures with more than 20 states exceeding 40 degrees.

During the night of Wednesday and early Thursday morning, a frontal system over the northeast and east of the country will interact with low pressure channels over the Mesa del Norte and Mesa Central, with a dry line that will be located over the north and northeast of the national territory. , and with the subtropical jet stream.

These systems will cause heavy occasional rains in Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala and Puebla; showers in the State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos and Veracruz, as well as isolated rains in San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato and Querétaro.

At the end of the forecast period, said front will stop affecting the country. At the same time, strong winds are forecast with gusts of 60 to 80 kilometers per hour and possible formation of whirlwinds or tornadoes in Coahuila (north), Nuevo León (north) and Tamaulipas (northwest and north), and wind gusts of 50 to 80 kilometers per hour. 70 km/h with dust devils in Baja California, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas and San Luis Potosí.

Low pressure channels in the southeast of the country and the Yucatan Peninsula, combined with the entry of warm and humid air from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, will cause very heavy occasional rains in Chiapas, heavy occasional rains in areas of Oaxaca , Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán and showers in Guerrero and Quintana Roo.

All forecast rains may be accompanied by electric shocks and hail.

Likewise, there will be strong gusts of wind of 40 to 60 km/h in the Yucatan Peninsula, and with possible dust devils in entities of the northwest, west, Mesa del Norte, Mesa del Centro and Valley of Mexico, in addition to wind from the south. with similar intensity in Tamaulipas (coast), Veracruz and Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec).

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Whirlwinds and possible tornadoes

For Thursday, the flow of warm air from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea will keep the environment hot to very hot in much of the Mexican Republic, being extremely hot with maximum temperatures above 45 °C in areas of Michoacán, Guerrero , Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.

In turn, a dry line over Coahuila, the subtropical jet stream and the approach of a new frontal system to the north of the country will cause strong gusts of wind and probable formation of whirlwinds or tornadoes in Chihuahua (northeast), Coahuila, Nuevo León (north) and Tamaulipas (northwest and north), in addition to rains and showers in the north and northeast of Mexico.

Finally, low pressure channels in the interior of the country, in combination with the entry of humidity from both oceans, will cause rains and showers accompanied by electric shocks and possible hail in the center, south and southeast of the country, with occasional heavy rains in Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Oaxaca and Chiapas, which will be accompanied by electric shocks and possible hailstorms.

Mexico’s valley

Temperate environment and sky with scattered clouds; In the afternoon, warm to hot atmosphere, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with the presence of mist, as well as the probability of showers accompanied by electric shocks and possible hail in Mexico City and the State of Mexico.

Wind of variable direction from 15 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h, mainly in stormy areas.

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The minimum temperature predicted by the Conagua organization for Mexico City will be 16 to 18 °C and the maximum 30 to 32 °C. For Toluca, the minimum temperature predicted is 9 to 11 °C and the maximum is 26 to 28 °C.

Risks

  • Heavy to very heavy rains will be accompanied by gusts of wind, electric shocks and possible hail; In addition, they could cause reduced visibility, landslides, flooding or flooding, as well as an increase in the levels of rivers and streams.
  • High temperatures could cause health problems.

Rain forecast for Thursday, May 16:

  • Intervals of showers with heavy occasional rains (25 to 50 mm): Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Oaxaca and Chiapas.
  • Shower intervals (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Veracruz, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos and Guerrero.
  • Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Chihuahua, Tabasco and Quintana Roo.

Temperature forecast for Thursday, May 16:

  • Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Michoacán, Guerrero, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
  • Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Coahuila, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Guanajuato, Morelos, Puebla (north and southwest), Oaxaca, Chiapas and Quintana Roo.
  • Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas and State of Mexico (southwest).
  • Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Baja California Sur, Aguascalientes and Mexico City.
  • Minimum temperatures of -5 to 0 °C with frost: mountains of Chihuahua and Durango.
  • Minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 °C: mountain ranges of Baja California, Sonora, Zacatecas and the State of Mexico.

Wind forecast for Thursday, May 16:

  • South component wind with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h: Veracruz and Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec); with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h: Tamaulipas (coast), Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
  • Wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and dust devils: Durango and Zacatecas; with possible formation of whirlwinds or tornadoes: Chihuahua (northeast), Coahuila, Nuevo León (north) and Tamaulipas (northwest and north).
  • Wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h and possible dust devils: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City and Morelos.

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